Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2026-02-28 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 3 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins (SO)

🚨 Upset Win (59% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 41.3%

PIT: 58.7%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.92

PIT: 3.39

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA

PIT

Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • NYR at home vs PIT: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-28	NYR 3 - 2 PIT	NYR	PIT
2026-01-31	PIT 6 - 5 NYR	PIT	PIT
2025-10-11	PIT 1 - 6 NYR	NYR	PIT
2025-10-07	NYR 0 - 3 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-02-23	PIT 3 - 5 NYR	NYR	PIT

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 3 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 2.9 - 3.4