Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2026-02-28 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 5 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 45.9%

EDM: 54.1%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.03

EDM: 3.61

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 53%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • SJS at home vs EDM: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-08	SJS 2 - 5 EDM	EDM	SJS
2026-03-17	EDM 5 - 3 SJS	EDM	EDM
2026-02-28	SJS 5 - 4 EDM	SJS	EDM
2026-01-29	EDM 4 - 3 SJS	EDM	EDM
2025-04-16	SJS 0 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	20	4	2.13
1	EDM	14	1	1.48
2	SJS	17	0	1.13
2	EDM	9	0	0.58
3	SJS	11	0	0.61
3	EDM	15	0	0.88

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 5 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.6