New York Islanders at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2026-02-28 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 4 New York Islanders (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 58.4%

NYI: 41.6%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.50

NYI: 2.96

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • CBJ at home vs NYI: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	NYI 1 - 0 CBJ	NYI	NYI
2026-02-28	CBJ 3 - 4 NYI	NYI	CBJ
2025-12-28	CBJ 4 - 2 NYI	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-02	NYI 3 - 2 CBJ	NYI	NYI
2025-04-17	CBJ 6 - 1 NYI	CBJ	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	14	1	1.12
1	NYI	11	0	0.58
2	CBJ	20	0	1.13
2	NYI	17	1	0.88
3	CBJ	10	0	0.39
3	NYI	15	0	0.73
4	CBJ	0	0	0.00
4	NYI	1	1	0.35

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 4 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0