Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2026-03-01 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 2 Calgary Flames (SO)

Win Probability

ANA: 69.3%

CGY: 30.7%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.44

CGY: 3.18

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • ANA at home vs CGY: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	ANA 3 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY
2026-03-26	CGY 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	ANA
2026-03-01	ANA 3 - 2 CGY	ANA	ANA
2026-01-25	CGY 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-04-09	ANA 4 - 3 CGY	ANA	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	17	2	1.48
1	CGY	27	1	1.70
2	ANA	19	1	1.33
2	CGY	21	0	1.54
3	ANA	17	0	1.00
3	CGY	11	1	0.68
4	ANA	3	0	0.30
4	CGY	2	0	0.10
5	ANA	3	2	1.77
5	CGY	3	1	1.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 2 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.4 - 3.2