Florida Panthers at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2026-03-03 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 5 - 1 Florida Panthers

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NJD: 57.1%

FLA: 42.9%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.06

FLA: 2.96

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 43%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Stat	NJD	FLA
Season SV%	0.884	0.888
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.32	2.80

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	21	20	1	95.2%	2.79	3	1.79
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	33	28	5	84.8%	5.85	6	0.85

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NJD at home vs FLA: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-03	NJD 5 - 1 FLA	NJD	NJD
2025-11-20	FLA 1 - 0 NJD	FLA	FLA
2025-10-16	NJD 3 - 1 FLA	NJD	NJD
2025-01-14	NJD 1 - 2 FLA	FLA	NJD
2024-11-14	FLA 2 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	10	1	0.97
1	FLA	17	2	1.86
2	NJD	19	0	1.41
2	FLA	10	1	0.82
3	NJD	17	5	3.47
3	FLA	5	0	0.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown