Tampa Bay Lightning at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2026-03-03 • Grand Casino Arena
Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 8:30 PM CST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 67.0%
TBL: 33.0%
Expected Goals
MIN: 3.78
TBL: 2.25
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 28-7-3 | 0.920 SV% | 2.11 GAA
| Stat | MIN | TBL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.895 | 0.921 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MIN at home vs TBL: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-01 | MIN 5 - 3 TBL | MIN | MIN |
| 2024-10-24 | TBL 2 - 4 MIN | MIN | TBL |
| 2024-01-18 | TBL 7 - 3 MIN | TBL | TBL |
| 2024-01-04 | MIN 1 - 4 TBL | TBL | MIN |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-03-03 at 8:30 PM CST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.