Utah Hockey Club at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2026-03-05 • Xfinity Mobile Arena
Philadelphia Flyers 0 - 3 Utah Hockey Club
🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 54.1%
UTA: 45.9%
Expected Goals
PHI: 3.36
UTA: 3.09
Total Goals
Median: 6.8
Over 5.5: 70%
Over 6.5: 57%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.896 SV% | 2.75 GAA
| Stat | PHI | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.914 | 0.881 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.909 | 0.862 |
| GAA | 2.40 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • PHI at home vs UTA: 0-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-05 | PHI 0 - 3 UTA | UTA | PHI |
| 2026-01-21 | UTA 5 - 4 PHI | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-02-04 | UTA 3 - 2 PHI | UTA | UTA |
| 2024-12-08 | PHI 2 - 4 UTA | UTA | PHI |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 0 - 3 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 3.4 - 3.1
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