Utah Hockey Club at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2026-03-05 • Xfinity Mobile Arena

Philadelphia Flyers 0 - 3 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

PHI: 42.9%

UTA: 57.1%

Expected Goals

PHI: 2.86

UTA: 3.57

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • PHI at home vs UTA: 0-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-05	PHI 0 - 3 UTA	UTA	UTA
2026-01-21	UTA 5 - 4 PHI	UTA	UTA
2025-02-04	UTA 3 - 2 PHI	UTA	UTA
2024-12-08	PHI 2 - 4 UTA	UTA	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	6	0	0.25
1	UTA	9	0	0.27
2	PHI	12	0	0.97
2	UTA	15	0	0.94
3	PHI	8	1	0.56
3	UTA	16	3	2.63

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 0 - 3 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 2.9 - 3.6