Buffalo Sabres at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2026-03-05 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Buffalo Sabres @ 7:00 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 63.9%
BUF: 36.1%
Expected Goals
PIT: 3.59
BUF: 3.07
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | PIT | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.863 | 0.934 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.855 | 0.871 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • PIT at home vs BUF: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 | BUF 2 - 5 PIT | PIT | BUF |
| 2025-11-26 | PIT 4 - 2 BUF | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-03-27 | BUF 7 - 3 PIT | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-01-17 | BUF 2 - 5 PIT | PIT | BUF |
| 2024-10-16 | PIT 6 - 5 BUF | PIT | PIT |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-03-05 at 7:00 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.