Tampa Bay Lightning at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2026-03-05 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:00 PM CST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 54.2%
TBL: 45.8%
Expected Goals
WPG: 3.08
TBL: 2.92
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 28-7-3 | 0.920 SV% | 2.11 GAA
| Stat | WPG | TBL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.879 | 0.921 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.917 | 0.958 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • WPG at home vs TBL: 2-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | TBL 4 - 1 WPG | TBL | TBL |
| 2024-11-14 | TBL 4 - 1 WPG | TBL | TBL |
| 2024-11-03 | WPG 7 - 4 TBL | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-01-02 | WPG 4 - 2 TBL | WPG | WPG |
| 2023-11-22 | TBL 2 - 3 WPG | WPG | TBL |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-03-05 at 7:00 PM CST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.