Carolina Hurricanes at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2026-03-06 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 6 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

EDM: 49.5%

CAR: 50.5%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.06

CAR: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • EDM at home vs CAR: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-06	EDM 3 - 6 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-15	CAR 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	CAR
2025-03-01	CAR 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	CAR
2024-10-22	EDM 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2023-12-06	EDM 6 - 1 CAR	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	5	0	0.37
1	CAR	15	1	0.83
2	EDM	16	0	1.15
2	CAR	22	0	1.09
3	EDM	6	1	0.61
3	CAR	12	1	1.51

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 6 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1