Montreal Canadiens at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2026-03-06 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 6 - 5 Montreal Canadiens (SO)

Win Probability

ANA: 52.0%

MTL: 48.0%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.32

MTL: 3.37

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • ANA at home vs MTL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-15	MTL 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	MTL
2026-03-06	ANA 6 - 5 MTL	ANA	ANA
2025-02-02	ANA 3 - 2 MTL	ANA	MTL
2024-12-09	MTL 3 - 2 ANA	MTL	MTL
2024-02-13	MTL 5 - 0 ANA	MTL	MTL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	19	1	1.31
1	MTL	12	0	0.77
2	ANA	17	1	1.46
2	MTL	23	2	2.18
3	ANA	9	0	0.65
3	MTL	11	0	0.40
4	ANA	0	0	0.00
4	MTL	6	1	0.79
5	ANA	6	2	2.07
5	MTL	5	1	1.26

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 6 - 5 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.3 - 3.4