St. Louis Blues at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2026-03-06 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 2 - 3 St. Louis Blues (OT)
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 59.0%
STL: 41.0%
Expected Goals
SJS: 3.63
STL: 2.91
Total Goals
Median: 7.7
Over 5.5: 77%
Over 6.5: 65%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
STL
Joel Hofer - 24-13-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.61 GAA
| Stat | SJS | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.908 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.892 | 0.889 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.87 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • SJS at home vs STL: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-30 | SJS 5 - 4 STL | SJS | SJS |
| 2026-03-26 | STL 2 - 1 SJS | STL | SJS |
| 2026-03-06 | SJS 2 - 3 STL | STL | SJS |
| 2024-12-12 | STL 3 - 4 SJS | SJS | STL |
| 2024-11-21 | STL 3 - 2 SJS | STL | STL |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 2 - 3 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.6 - 2.9
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