New York Rangers at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2026-03-07 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 6 - 3 New York Rangers

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NJD: 61.5%

NYR: 38.5%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.38

NYR: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

NYR

Jonathan Quick - 3-6-1 | 0.924 SV% | 2.11 GAA

Stat	NJD	NYR
Season SV%	0.884	0.924
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.32	2.11

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	20	17	3	85.0%	2.14	0	-0.86
NYR	Jonathan Quick	35	29	6	82.9%	4.44	3	-1.56

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • NJD at home vs NYR: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	NYR 4 - 1 NJD	NYR	NJD
2026-03-18	NYR 3 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-03-07	NJD 6 - 3 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-04-05	NJD 4 - 0 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-01-09	NYR 3 - 2 NJD	NYR	NJD

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	15	1	1.28
1	NYR	12	0	0.60
2	NJD	20	0	1.03
2	NYR	7	0	0.69
3	NJD	19	2	2.13
3	NYR	14	0	0.85

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown