Boston Bruins at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2026-03-08 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 4 Boston Bruins (OT)

Win Probability

PIT: 60.7%

BOS: 39.3%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.28

BOS: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • PIT at home vs BOS: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-08	PIT 5 - 4 BOS	PIT	PIT
2026-03-03	BOS 2 - 1 PIT	BOS	BOS
2026-01-11	BOS 1 - 0 PIT	BOS	BOS
2025-04-13	PIT 1 - 4 BOS	BOS	PIT
2025-03-01	PIT 2 - 3 BOS	BOS	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	18	1	0.96
1	BOS	15	0	1.13
2	PIT	18	1	1.38
2	BOS	10	0	0.62
3	PIT	20	0	1.18
3	BOS	16	0	1.03
4	PIT	1	0	0.20
4	BOS	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 4 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9