Detroit Red Wings at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2026-03-08 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 0 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 60.7%

DET: 39.3%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.20

DET: 2.61

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NJD at home vs DET: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	DET 3 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-03-08	NJD 0 - 3 DET	DET	NJD
2025-11-24	NJD 4 - 3 DET	NJD	NJD
2025-04-16	NJD 2 - 5 DET	DET	DET
2024-11-29	DET 4 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	NJD	14	0.72
1	DET	19	1.33
2	NJD	18	1.06
2	DET	11	0.48
3	NJD	13	0.46
3	DET	14	0.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 0 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.2 - 2.6