St. Louis Blues at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2026-03-08 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 0 - 4 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

ANA: 51.8%

STL: 48.2%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.32

STL: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 52%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

ANA

Ville Husso - 5-3-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.25 GAA

STL

Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA

Stat	ANA	STL
Season SV%	0.884	0.901
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.25	2.87

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	Ville Husso	35	31	4	88.6%	5.64	7	1.64
STL	Joel Hofer	22	22	0	100.0%	2.56	2	2.56

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • ANA at home vs STL: 1-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-03	ANA 2 - 6 STL	STL	ANA
2026-03-08	ANA 0 - 4 STL	STL	ANA
2025-12-01	STL 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	STL
2025-03-16	STL 7 - 2 ANA	STL	STL
2025-03-07	ANA 3 - 4 STL	STL	STL

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	10	2	0.67
1	STL	19	2	1.85
2	ANA	16	0	1.15
2	STL	18	1	1.34
3	ANA	17	0	0.74
3	STL	16	4	2.44

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown