New York Rangers at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2026-03-09 • Xfinity Mobile Arena

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 6 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

Win Probability

PHI: 58.9%

NYR: 41.1%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.42

NYR: 3.38

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • PHI at home vs NYR: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-09	PHI 2 - 6 NYR	NYR	PHI
2026-02-26	NYR 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	NYR
2026-01-17	PHI 3 - 6 NYR	NYR	PHI
2025-12-20	NYR 5 - 4 PHI	NYR	NYR
2025-04-09	NYR 5 - 8 PHI	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	12	0	0.73
1	NYR	13	2	1.52
2	PHI	16	1	1.81
2	NYR	17	2	1.59
3	PHI	20	1	1.12
3	NYR	4	0	0.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 6 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.4 - 3.4