Calgary Flames at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2026-03-10 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 4 - 0 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

NYR: 57.9%

CGY: 42.1%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.21

CGY: 2.66

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • NYR at home vs CGY: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-10	NYR 4 - 0 CGY	NYR	NYR
2025-10-26	CGY 5 - 1 NYR	CGY	CGY
2025-03-18	NYR 1 - 2 CGY	CGY	NYR
2024-11-21	CGY 3 - 2 NYR	CGY	CGY
2024-02-12	NYR 2 - 0 CGY	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	13	0	0.59
1	CGY	13	1	1.11
2	NYR	20	0	1.54
2	CGY	17	0	0.69
3	NYR	12	0	0.88
3	CGY	7	1	0.60

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 4 - 0 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.2 - 2.7