Pittsburgh Penguins at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2026-03-10 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins (SO)

Win Probability

CAR: 54.0%

PIT: 46.0%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.54

PIT: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 7.0

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 56%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • CAR at home vs PIT: 6-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	PIT 1 - 5 CAR	CAR	PIT
2026-03-18	CAR 6 - 5 PIT	CAR	CAR
2026-03-10	CAR 5 - 4 PIT	CAR	CAR
2025-12-30	PIT 5 - 1 CAR	PIT	PIT
2025-01-05	CAR 4 - 3 PIT	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	24	2	2.07
1	PIT	16	0	1.26
2	CAR	16	1	1.42
2	PIT	21	2	2.20
3	CAR	22	2	2.36
3	PIT	10	1	0.64
4	CAR	3	0	0.40
4	PIT	4	0	0.48
5	CAR	3	2	2.04
5	PIT	3	1	0.99

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.5 - 2.9