New York Islanders at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2026-03-10 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 3 - 4 New York Islanders (OT)

Win Probability

STL: 46.7%

NYI: 53.3%

Expected Goals

STL: 2.99

NYI: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs NYI: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-10	STL 3 - 4 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-11-22	NYI 1 - 2 STL	STL	NYI
2024-11-23	NYI 3 - 1 STL	NYI	NYI
2024-10-17	STL 1 - 0 NYI	STL	STL
2024-03-05	NYI 4 - 2 STL	NYI	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	7	1	0.79
1	NYI	22	0	1.18
2	STL	13	0	1.15
2	NYI	16	1	1.37
3	STL	12	1	0.74
3	NYI	21	3	2.55
4	STL	1	0	0.03
4	NYI	3	0	0.24

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 3 - 4 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3