Calgary Flames at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2026-03-12 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 4 - 5 Calgary Flames
🚨 Upset Loss (70% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 70.3%
CGY: 29.7%
Expected Goals
NJD: 3.61
CGY: 2.54
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 23-19-1 | 0.883 SV% | 3.07 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
| Stat | NJD | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.873 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.882 | 0.875 |
| GAA | 3.32 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 0% • NJD at home vs CGY: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | NJD 4 - 5 CGY | CGY | NJD |
| 2026-01-19 | CGY 1 - 2 NJD | NJD | CGY |
| 2025-03-20 | NJD 3 - 5 CGY | CGY | NJD |
| 2024-11-01 | CGY 3 - 0 NJD | CGY | NJD |
| 2024-02-08 | NJD 3 - 5 CGY | CGY | NJD |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 70.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 4 - 5 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.6 - 2.5
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