Edmonton Oilers at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2026-03-12 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 7 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

DAL: 52.1%

EDM: 47.9%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.00

EDM: 2.82

Total Goals

Median: 5.1

Over 5.5: 46%

Over 6.5: 33%

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA

EDM

Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • DAL at home vs EDM: 6-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	DAL 7 - 2 EDM	DAL	DAL
2025-11-25	EDM 3 - 8 DAL	DAL	EDM
2025-11-04	DAL 4 - 3 EDM	DAL	DAL
2025-05-29	DAL 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-05-27	EDM 4 - 1 DAL	EDM	EDM

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 7 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.0 - 2.8