Los Angeles Kings at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2026-03-13 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 2 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

NYI: 47.4%

LAK: 52.6%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.12

LAK: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • NYI at home vs LAK: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-13	NYI 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2026-03-05	LAK 5 - 3 NYI	LAK	LAK
2025-03-11	LAK 4 - 1 NYI	LAK	LAK
2024-12-10	NYI 1 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2024-03-11	LAK 3 - 0 NYI	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	16	0	1.06
1	LAK	15	3	2.11
2	NYI	13	1	0.99
2	LAK	19	1	1.23
3	NYI	18	0	0.98
3	LAK	9	2	1.52

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 2 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2