Boston Bruins at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2026-03-14 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 2 - 3 Boston Bruins (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

WSH: 55.7%

BOS: 44.3%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.00

BOS: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 5.2

Over 5.5: 47%

Over 6.5: 33%

WSH

Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • WSH at home vs BOS: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	WSH 2 - 3 BOS	BOS	WSH
2026-03-07	BOS 3 - 1 WSH	BOS	WSH
2025-10-08	WSH 1 - 3 BOS	BOS	BOS
2025-04-01	BOS 3 - 4 WSH	WSH	BOS
2024-12-31	WSH 3 - 1 BOS	WSH	WSH

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 2 - 3 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.0 - 2.9