Pittsburgh Penguins at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions
2026-03-14 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 3 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
UTA: 55.6%
PIT: 44.4%
Expected Goals
UTA: 3.03
PIT: 3.65
Total Goals
Median: 7.6
Over 5.5: 77%
Over 6.5: 65%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.896 SV% | 2.75 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | UTA | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.881 | 0.886 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.795 | 0.885 |
| GAA | 2.68 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • UTA at home vs PIT: 0-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | UTA 3 - 4 PIT | PIT | UTA |
| 2025-12-14 | PIT 4 - 5 UTA | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-01-29 | UTA 2 - 3 PIT | PIT | UTA |
| 2024-11-23 | PIT 1 - 6 UTA | UTA | UTA |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 3 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 3.0 - 3.7
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