Chicago Blackhawks at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2026-03-14 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 0 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

VGK: 67.4%

CHI: 32.6%

Expected Goals

VGK: 2.72

CHI: 2.55

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VGK at home vs CHI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	VGK 4 - 0 CHI	VGK	VGK
2026-01-04	CHI 3 - 2 VGK	CHI	VGK
2025-12-02	VGK 4 - 3 CHI	VGK	VGK
2025-03-28	CHI 3 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-02-27	VGK 7 - 5 CHI	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	18	0	1.15
1	CHI	13	0	0.50
2	VGK	15	1	1.31
2	CHI	10	0	0.80
3	VGK	12	0	1.07
3	CHI	15	1	1.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.3

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 0 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 2.7 - 2.6