Anaheim Ducks at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions
2026-03-15 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens 3 - 4 Anaheim Ducks
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 59.3%
ANA: 40.7%
Expected Goals
MTL: 3.03
ANA: 2.74
Total Goals
Median: 5.2
Over 5.5: 43%
Over 6.5: 29%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 30-20-4 | 0.888 SV% | 3.10 GAA
| Stat | MTL | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.840 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.862 |
| GAA | 3.01 | 3.15 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MTL at home vs ANA: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | MTL 3 - 4 ANA | ANA | MTL |
| 2026-03-06 | ANA 6 - 5 MTL | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-02-02 | ANA 3 - 2 MTL | ANA | MTL |
| 2024-12-09 | MTL 3 - 2 ANA | MTL | MTL |
| 2024-02-13 | MTL 5 - 0 ANA | MTL | MTL |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Montreal Canadiens 3 - 4 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.0 - 2.7
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