Anaheim Ducks at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2026-03-15 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 3 - 4 Anaheim Ducks

🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)

Win Probability

MTL: 62.2%

ANA: 37.8%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.43

ANA: 2.80

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 56%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MTL at home vs ANA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-15	MTL 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	MTL
2026-03-06	ANA 6 - 5 MTL	ANA	ANA
2025-02-02	ANA 3 - 2 MTL	ANA	MTL
2024-12-09	MTL 3 - 2 ANA	MTL	MTL
2024-02-13	MTL 5 - 0 ANA	MTL	MTL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	16	0	1.15
1	ANA	12	1	0.71
2	MTL	16	0	1.15
2	ANA	14	3	1.52
3	MTL	13	2	1.38
3	ANA	15	2	2.29

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 3 - 4 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.4 - 2.8