Toronto Maple Leafs at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2026-03-15 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 2 - 4 Toronto Maple Leafs

🚨 Upset Loss (69% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 68.9%

TOR: 31.1%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.51

TOR: 2.33

Total Goals

Median: 5.1

Over 5.5: 44%

Over 6.5: 31%

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA

TOR

Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MIN at home vs TOR: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-15	MIN 2 - 4 TOR	TOR	MIN
2026-01-19	TOR 3 - 6 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-01-29	TOR 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	TOR
2024-11-03	MIN 2 - 1 TOR	MIN	MIN
2023-11-19	MIN 3 - 4 TOR	TOR	TOR

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 68.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 2 - 4 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 3.5 - 2.3