Nashville Predators at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2026-03-15 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 1 Nashville Predators

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

EDM: 65.3%

NSH: 34.7%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.18

NSH: 2.55

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 51%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

EDM

Connor Ingram - 2-2-0 | 0.883 SV% | 3.28 GAA

NSH

Justus Annunen - 3-5-1 | 0.875 SV% | 3.29 GAA

Stat	EDM	NSH
Season SV%	0.883	0.875
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.28	3.29

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Connor Ingram	27	26	1	96.3%	3.26	3	2.26
NSH	Justus Annunen	30	27	3	90.0%	5.30	5	2.30

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • EDM at home vs NSH: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-15	EDM 3 - 1 NSH	EDM	EDM
2026-01-13	NSH 4 - 3 EDM	NSH	NSH
2026-01-06	EDM 6 - 2 NSH	EDM	EDM
2024-11-14	EDM 3 - 2 NSH	EDM	EDM
2024-10-31	NSH 1 - 5 EDM	EDM	EDM

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	15	2	1.47
1	NSH	9	0	0.81
2	EDM	14	1	1.56
2	NSH	13	0	0.55
3	EDM	13	2	2.27
3	NSH	23	3	1.89

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown