San Jose Sharks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2026-03-17 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 5 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

EDM: 69.4%

SJS: 30.6%

Expected Goals

EDM: 4.08

SJS: 2.64

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 52%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • EDM at home vs SJS: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-08	SJS 2 - 5 EDM	EDM	SJS
2026-03-17	EDM 5 - 3 SJS	EDM	EDM
2026-02-28	SJS 5 - 4 EDM	SJS	EDM
2026-01-29	EDM 4 - 3 SJS	EDM	EDM
2025-04-16	SJS 0 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	10	0	0.70
1	SJS	12	0	0.72
2	EDM	17	1	1.02
2	SJS	21	2	1.44
3	EDM	17	1	1.71
3	SJS	16	1	1.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 5 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 4.1 - 2.6