New Jersey Devils at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2026-03-18 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 3 - 6 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

NYR: 43.7%

NJD: 56.3%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.10

NJD: 3.65

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • NYR at home vs NJD: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	NYR 4 - 1 NJD	NYR	NJD
2026-03-18	NYR 3 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-03-07	NJD 6 - 3 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-04-05	NJD 4 - 0 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-01-09	NYR 3 - 2 NJD	NYR	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	6	0	0.20
1	NJD	23	2	1.73
2	NYR	11	0	0.83
2	NJD	18	2	1.64
3	NYR	13	1	0.86
3	NJD	16	1	1.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 3 - 6 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.1 - 3.7