New Jersey Devils at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2026-03-18 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 3 - 6 New Jersey Devils

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NYR: 49.2%

NJD: 50.8%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.10

NJD: 3.70

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 50%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NYR

Jonathan Quick - 3-6-1 | 0.924 SV% | 2.11 GAA

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

Stat	NYR	NJD
Season SV%	0.924	0.884
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.11	3.32

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Jonathan Quick	39	33	6	84.6%	4.58	5	-1.42
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	18	15	3	83.3%	1.89	1	-1.11

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • NYR at home vs NJD: 8-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	NYR 4 - 1 NJD	NYR	NJD
2026-03-18	NYR 3 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-03-07	NJD 6 - 3 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-04-05	NJD 4 - 0 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-01-09	NYR 3 - 2 NJD	NYR	NJD

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	6	0	0.20
1	NJD	23	2	1.73
2	NYR	11	0	0.83
2	NJD	18	2	1.64
3	NYR	13	1	0.86
3	NJD	16	1	1.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown