St. Louis Blues at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2026-03-18 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 2 - 1 St. Louis Blues (SO)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CGY: 56.6%

STL: 43.4%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.05

STL: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CGY

Devin Cooley - 4-4-2 | 0.914 SV% | 2.40 GAA

STL

Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA

Stat	CGY	STL
Season SV%	0.914	0.901
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.40	2.87

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CGY	Devin Cooley	24	23	1	95.8%	2.25	0	1.25
STL	Joel Hofer	24	23	1	95.8%	1.89	1	0.89

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • CGY at home vs STL: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-18	CGY 2 - 1 STL	CGY	CGY
2025-11-11	STL 3 - 2 CGY	STL	STL
2025-10-11	CGY 2 - 4 STL	STL	CGY
2025-01-16	STL 4 - 1 CGY	STL	STL
2025-01-14	STL 2 - 1 CGY	STL	STL

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	15	0	1.06
1	STL	11	0	0.76
2	CGY	10	1	0.73
2	STL	11	0	0.57
3	CGY	8	0	0.10
3	STL	15	0	0.91

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 2 - 1 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9