New York Islanders at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2026-03-19 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 3 - 2 New York Islanders

Win Probability

OTT: 63.8%

NYI: 36.2%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.73

NYI: 2.80

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • OTT at home vs NYI: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	NYI 0 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2026-03-19	OTT 3 - 2 NYI	OTT	OTT
2025-10-18	OTT 4 - 5 NYI	NYI	OTT
2025-01-14	NYI 0 - 2 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-12-08	OTT 2 - 4 NYI	NYI	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	13	0	0.53
1	NYI	8	0	0.25
2	OTT	16	1	1.39
2	NYI	16	0	1.21
3	OTT	18	3	1.55
3	NYI	4	0	0.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 3 - 2 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.7 - 2.8