Chicago Blackhawks at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2026-03-19 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 1 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks

🚨 Upset Loss (69% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

MIN: 69.3%

CHI: 30.7%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.81

CHI: 2.52

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 48%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

MIN

Jesper Wallstedt - 11-2-3 | 0.928 SV% | 2.21 GAA

CHI

Spencer Knight - 11-11-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.63 GAA

Stat	MIN	CHI
Season SV%	0.928	0.909
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.21	2.63

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Jesper Wallstedt	26	24	2	92.3%	3.21	1	1.21
CHI	Spencer Knight	29	28	1	96.6%	2.53	0	1.53

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • MIN at home vs CHI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	MIN 1 - 2 CHI	CHI	MIN
2026-03-17	CHI 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN
2026-01-27	MIN 4 - 3 CHI	MIN	MIN
2025-11-26	CHI 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-01-26	CHI 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	10	0	0.31
1	CHI	16	0	1.15
2	MIN	16	0	0.85
2	CHI	9	0	0.47
3	MIN	17	0	1.37
3	CHI	15	1	1.60

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 69.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown