Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2026-03-19 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 0 - 4 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

EDM: 61.0%

FLA: 39.0%

Expected Goals

EDM: 2.92

FLA: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 56%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • EDM at home vs FLA: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	EDM 0 - 4 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-11-22	FLA 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	FLA
2025-06-17	FLA 5 - 1 EDM	FLA	FLA
2025-06-14	EDM 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-06-12	FLA 4 - 5 EDM	EDM	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	11	0	0.50
1	FLA	20	1	1.10
2	EDM	12	0	0.91
2	FLA	10	1	0.97
3	EDM	12	1	1.08
3	FLA	10	1	0.68

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 0 - 4 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.9 - 3.1