Buffalo Sabres at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2026-03-19 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 0 - 5 Buffalo Sabres
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 52.1%
BUF: 47.9%
Expected Goals
SJS: 3.38
BUF: 3.17
Total Goals
Median: 7.2
Over 5.5: 73%
Over 6.5: 61%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
| Stat | SJS | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.847 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.800 | 0.930 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SJS at home vs BUF: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | SJS 0 - 5 BUF | BUF | SJS |
| 2026-03-10 | BUF 6 - 3 SJS | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-03-04 | BUF 2 - 6 SJS | SJS | BUF |
| 2024-11-23 | SJS 2 - 4 BUF | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-01-27 | SJS 2 - 5 BUF | BUF | BUF |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 0 - 5 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.4 - 3.2
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