Buffalo Sabres at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2026-03-19 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 0 - 5 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

SJS: 47.9%

BUF: 52.1%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.21

BUF: 3.70

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • SJS at home vs BUF: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	SJS 0 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-03-10	BUF 6 - 3 SJS	BUF	BUF
2025-03-04	BUF 2 - 6 SJS	SJS	BUF
2024-11-23	SJS 2 - 4 BUF	BUF	BUF
2024-01-27	SJS 2 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	9	0	0.70
1	BUF	9	0	0.75
2	SJS	16	0	0.93
2	BUF	7	1	0.86
3	SJS	9	0	0.34
3	BUF	10	0	0.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 0 - 5 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.2 - 3.7