New Jersey Devils at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions
2026-03-20 • Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals 2 - 1 New Jersey Devils
🚨 Upset Win (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WSH: 41.7%
NJD: 58.3%
Expected Goals
WSH: 3.26
NJD: 3.33
Total Goals
Median: 7.1
Over 5.5: 74%
Over 6.5: 62%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 23-19-1 | 0.883 SV% | 3.07 GAA
| Stat | WSH | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.912 | 0.873 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.907 | — |
| GAA | 2.39 | 3.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • WSH at home vs NJD: 2-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | NJD 7 - 3 WSH | NJD | NJD |
| 2026-03-20 | WSH 2 - 1 NJD | WSH | NJD |
| 2025-12-27 | NJD 3 - 4 WSH | WSH | NJD |
| 2025-11-15 | WSH 2 - 3 NJD | NJD | WSH |
| 2024-11-30 | NJD 5 - 6 WSH | WSH | NJD |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Washington Capitals 2 - 1 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 3.3 - 3.3
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