Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2026-03-20 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CHI: 14.8%

COL: 85.2%

Expected Goals

CHI: 1.94

COL: 5.03

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 39%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CHI

Arvid Soderblom - 4-7-1 | 0.873 SV% | 4.02 GAA

COL

Mackenzie Blackwood - 13-1-1 | 0.924 SV% | 2.07 GAA

Stat	CHI	COL
Season SV%	0.873	0.924
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	4.02	2.07

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Arvid Soderblom	49	45	4	91.8%	4.58	4	0.58
COL	Mackenzie Blackwood	20	19	1	95.0%	2.51	2	1.51

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • CHI at home vs COL: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-20	CHI 1 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2026-02-28	COL 3 - 1 CHI	COL	COL
2025-11-23	CHI 0 - 1 COL	COL	COL
2025-04-02	CHI 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2025-03-10	COL 3 - 0 CHI	COL	COL

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	10	0	0.75
1	COL	26	1	1.80
2	CHI	13	1	1.10
2	COL	21	2	1.60
3	CHI	12	1	0.66
3	COL	18	1	1.18

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 85.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown