Vegas Golden Knights at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2026-03-21 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 4 - 1 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

NSH: 52.4%

VGK: 47.6%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.19

VGK: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NSH at home vs VGK: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	NSH 4 - 1 VGK	NSH	NSH
2026-01-17	VGK 7 - 2 NSH	VGK	VGK
2025-12-31	VGK 2 - 4 NSH	NSH	VGK
2025-04-12	VGK 5 - 3 NSH	VGK	VGK
2025-03-29	NSH 1 - 3 VGK	VGK	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	4	0	0.14
1	VGK	29	2	2.27
2	NSH	17	1	1.84
2	VGK	12	0	0.48
3	NSH	10	2	1.23
3	VGK	18	0	1.22

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 4 - 1 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1