Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2026-03-21 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 2 - 1 Dallas Stars (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 46.5%

DAL: 53.5%

Expected Goals

MIN: 2.89

DAL: 3.32

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • MIN at home vs DAL: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-30	MIN 5 - 2 DAL	MIN	MIN
2026-04-28	DAL 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	DAL
2026-04-25	MIN 3 - 2 DAL	MIN	MIN
2026-04-22	MIN 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	MIN
2026-04-20	DAL 4 - 2 MIN	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	13	1	0.74
1	DAL	17	0	0.62
2	MIN	13	1	1.05
2	DAL	13	0	0.66
3	MIN	11	1	0.83
3	DAL	15	1	1.41
4	MIN	3	0	0.30
4	DAL	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 2 - 1 Dallas Stars

Expected: 2.9 - 3.3