Boston Bruins at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2026-03-21 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 2 - 4 Boston Bruins
🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 54.0%
BOS: 46.0%
Expected Goals
DET: 3.16
BOS: 2.68
Total Goals
Median: 5.3
Over 5.5: 43%
Over 6.5: 29%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
| Stat | DET | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.891 | 0.923 |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • DET at home vs BOS: 3-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | DET 2 - 4 BOS | BOS | DET |
| 2026-01-13 | BOS 3 - 0 DET | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-12-02 | DET 5 - 4 BOS | DET | DET |
| 2025-11-29 | BOS 3 - 2 DET | BOS | DET |
| 2025-03-29 | DET 2 - 1 BOS | DET | DET |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 2 - 4 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.2 - 2.7
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