Carolina Hurricanes at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2026-03-22 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 1 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 34.5%
CAR: 65.5%
Expected Goals
PIT: 2.42
CAR: 2.88
Total Goals
Median: 3.8
Over 5.5: 31%
Over 6.5: 20%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
| Stat | PIT | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.886 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.898 | — |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • PIT at home vs CAR: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | PIT 1 - 5 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-03-18 | CAR 6 - 5 PIT | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-03-10 | CAR 5 - 4 PIT | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-12-30 | PIT 5 - 1 CAR | PIT | CAR |
| 2025-01-05 | CAR 4 - 3 PIT | CAR | CAR |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 65.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.3
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 1 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.4 - 2.9
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