Chicago Blackhawks at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2026-03-24 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 3 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks
🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 63.5%
CHI: 36.5%
Expected Goals
NYI: 4.12
CHI: 2.81
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 67%
Over 6.5: 54%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYI at home vs CHI: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | NYI 3 - 4 CHI | CHI | NYI |
| 2025-12-30 | CHI 2 - 3 NYI | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-12-15 | CHI 5 - 3 NYI | CHI | NYI |
| 2024-12-12 | NYI 5 - 4 CHI | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-04-02 | NYI 2 - 1 CHI | NYI | NYI |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYI | 21 | 2 | 1.78 |
| 1 | CHI | 15 | 2 | 1.56 |
| 2 | NYI | 16 | 0 | 1.21 |
| 2 | CHI | 9 | 0 | 0.64 |
| 3 | NYI | 38 | 3 | 2.79 |
| 3 | CHI | 9 | 1 | 1.05 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 63.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.9
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 3 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 4.1 - 2.8
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