Chicago Blackhawks at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2026-03-24 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 3 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 56.6%
CHI: 43.4%
Expected Goals
NYI: 3.13
CHI: 2.72
Total Goals
Median: 5.5
Over 5.5: 47%
Over 6.5: 32%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
CHI
Spencer Knight - 19-25-11 | 0.902 SV% | 2.82 GAA
| Stat | NYI | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.851 | 0.851 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.917 | 0.905 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 2.63 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYI at home vs CHI: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | NYI 3 - 4 CHI | CHI | NYI |
| 2025-12-30 | CHI 2 - 3 NYI | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-12-15 | CHI 5 - 3 NYI | CHI | NYI |
| 2024-12-12 | NYI 5 - 4 CHI | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-04-02 | NYI 2 - 1 CHI | NYI | NYI |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 3 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.1 - 2.7
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