Washington Capitals at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2026-03-24 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 3 - 0 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

STL: 64.5%

WSH: 35.5%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.30

WSH: 2.54

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • STL at home vs WSH: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	STL 3 - 0 WSH	STL	STL
2025-11-05	WSH 6 - 1 STL	WSH	WSH
2025-02-27	WSH 2 - 5 STL	STL	STL
2024-11-09	STL 1 - 8 WSH	WSH	WSH
2024-01-20	STL 3 - 0 WSH	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	10	1	1.20
1	WSH	15	1	0.94
2	STL	13	0	0.86
2	WSH	8	0	0.47
3	STL	21	4	2.65
3	WSH	14	1	1.06

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 3 - 0 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.3 - 2.5