Washington Capitals at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2026-03-24 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 3 - 0 Washington Capitals
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 57.4%
WSH: 42.6%
Expected Goals
STL: 3.44
WSH: 2.61
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Joel Hofer - 24-13-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.61 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | STL | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.908 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.947 | 0.940 |
| GAA | 2.87 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs WSH: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | STL 3 - 0 WSH | STL | STL |
| 2025-11-05 | WSH 6 - 1 STL | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-02-27 | WSH 2 - 5 STL | STL | WSH |
| 2024-11-09 | STL 1 - 8 WSH | WSH | WSH |
| 2024-01-20 | STL 3 - 0 WSH | STL | STL |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 3 - 0 Washington Capitals
Expected: 3.4 - 2.6
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.