Anaheim Ducks at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2026-03-24 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 5 Anaheim Ducks

🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

VAN: 50.2%

ANA: 49.8%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.98

ANA: 3.45

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 49%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

Stat	VAN	ANA
Season SV%	0.885	0.888
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.41	3.15

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	34	29	5	85.3%	4.98	5	-0.02
ANA	Lukas Dostal	30	27	3	90.0%	3.12	1	0.12

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • VAN at home vs ANA: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	ANA 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	ANA
2026-03-24	VAN 3 - 5 ANA	ANA	VAN
2026-01-29	VAN 2 - 0 ANA	VAN	ANA
2025-11-26	ANA 4 - 5 VAN	VAN	ANA
2025-04-05	VAN 6 - 2 ANA	VAN	VAN

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	9	0	0.48
1	ANA	16	1	1.43
2	VAN	19	0	1.06
2	ANA	20	2	1.95
3	VAN	21	1	1.59
3	ANA	13	2	1.60

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown