Columbus Blue Jackets at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2026-03-26 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 2 - 1 Columbus Blue Jackets

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

MTL: 46.3%

CBJ: 53.7%

Expected Goals

MTL: 2.99

CBJ: 3.32

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 22% • MTL at home vs CBJ: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	MTL 2 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	MTL
2026-03-26	MTL 2 - 1 CBJ	MTL	CBJ
2025-11-17	CBJ 4 - 3 MTL	CBJ	MTL
2024-12-23	CBJ 5 - 4 MTL	CBJ	MTL
2024-11-27	CBJ 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	CBJ

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	9	0	0.67
1	CBJ	18	2	1.50
2	MTL	13	0	0.62
2	CBJ	13	1	0.97
3	MTL	9	2	0.94
3	CBJ	13	0	0.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 2 - 1 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3