Dallas Stars at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2026-03-26 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 2 - 1 Dallas Stars
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 50.8%
DAL: 49.2%
Expected Goals
NYI: 2.94
DAL: 2.84
Total Goals
Median: 4.8
Over 5.5: 39%
Over 6.5: 25%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | NYI | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.851 | 0.916 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.963 | 0.894 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • NYI at home vs DAL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | NYI 2 - 1 DAL | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-11-18 | DAL 2 - 3 NYI | NYI | DAL |
| 2025-02-23 | NYI 3 - 4 DAL | DAL | NYI |
| 2024-10-12 | DAL 3 - 0 NYI | DAL | NYI |
| 2024-02-26 | DAL 2 - 3 NYI | NYI | DAL |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 50.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 2 - 1 Dallas Stars
Expected: 2.9 - 2.8
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