Chicago Blackhawks at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2026-03-26 • Xfinity Mobile Arena

Philadelphia Flyers 5 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

PHI: 63.0%

CHI: 37.0%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.31

CHI: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs CHI: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-26	PHI 5 - 1 CHI	PHI	PHI
2025-12-23	CHI 1 - 3 PHI	PHI	PHI
2025-03-23	CHI 7 - 4 PHI	CHI	PHI
2024-11-23	PHI 3 - 2 CHI	PHI	PHI
2024-03-30	PHI 1 - 5 CHI	CHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	22	3	1.84
1	CHI	11	1	0.68
2	PHI	21	1	2.31
2	CHI	13	0	0.54
3	PHI	19	2	1.56
3	CHI	9	0	0.53

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 5 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9