Colorado Avalanche at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2026-03-26 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 3 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

WPG: 46.4%

COL: 53.6%

Expected Goals

WPG: 2.97

COL: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WPG at home vs COL: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	COL 2 - 4 WPG	WPG	COL
2026-03-26	WPG 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-03-14	WPG 3 - 1 COL	WPG	COL
2025-12-19	COL 3 - 2 WPG	COL	COL
2025-01-22	COL 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	16	0	0.84
1	COL	12	1	1.26
2	WPG	14	0	0.62
2	COL	16	0	1.29
3	WPG	10	0	0.69
3	COL	18	1	1.51

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 3 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2