Detroit Red Wings at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2026-03-27 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 2 - 5 Detroit Red Wings

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

BUF: 60.7%

DET: 39.3%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.35

DET: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 52%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • BUF at home vs DET: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-27	BUF 2 - 5 DET	DET	BUF
2025-11-15	DET 4 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-10-22	BUF 4 - 2 DET	BUF	BUF
2025-03-12	DET 7 - 3 BUF	DET	BUF
2024-12-09	BUF 5 - 6 DET	DET	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	17	1	1.38
1	DET	16	3	1.70
2	BUF	24	1	1.92
2	DET	4	0	0.32
3	BUF	10	0	0.55
3	DET	10	3	1.58

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 2 - 5 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1